Tydeth Gilitae
Magewright Artificers
27
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Posted - 2013.10.30 15:18:00 -
[1] - Quote
From the perspective of RP, this could get interesting. If I recall correctly, Providence is that area of space that the Amarrian RP alliances like CVA claim as an extension of the Amarr Empire. Said Empire's big thing in the lore is their religion and faith in their God. On the other hand, we have the New Order, set apart from other gankers by their own religious faith, their belief in their Code. So this Sov War is an ideological crusade, like the ones in Medieval history. Granted, those didn't go so well for the invaders.
From an OOC perspective, we have in the defense a coalition that is experienced with fighting in Sov battles and holding their space, being invaded by an alliance for which this is their first war. While there are undoubtably members of Code. that have engaged in Sov Warfare, this conflict is new to the alliance as a collective and to its newer members. Both sides have plenty of IC zeal they can channel into a desire to fight, as covered above, but Provibloc also has defending their homelands as an additional reason. In addition, Code. is fighting a war on two fronts, with the other being all of High-Security space. As is well known, the New Order doesn't have enough people to cover all of High-Sec all the time, so they are stretched thin enough as it is between the Four Empires, without adding the new war on top of it. This leans towards victory predictions favoring CVA and friends.
However, if the CFC vs. Test War of Fountain was any indication, these things don't stay between just the two parties. It is well known - and often exaggerated - that the New Order does have ties to the Goonswarm Federation, which it might call upon or receive aid from. I am unfamiliar with all the politics going on in EVE, but the Provibloc might be able to call on the Stain guys to help them keep Providence NRDS even for miners. If the CFC jumps in with the NO, Provibloc could potentially call in N3, if what is said about their desire to break the Goons is true. With Black (and Pandemic?) Legion being a mercenary alliance, I've no idea where they'll go in this, only that they'll probably dive in for the combat. Given the amount of hatred that some High-sec members have for the New Order, the more combat-oriented High-Sec mercenaries might join in battle against Code. after being hired by either Provibloc or HS people who decide they've had enough.
TL;DR:
1. Both sides are religious zealots, thus having plenty of will to fight, thereby potentially resisting Sov burnout longer.
2. New Order has to fight both Provibloc in Null, and High-Sec miners (and CONCORD) in the four Empires, splitting their potential forces between the two fronts. Provibloc can just stay in Providence and defend it, maintaining their full potential, and its alliances also have more collective experience with Sov Warfare. Advantage: Provibloc.
3. Diplomacy can swing this war in any direction, making predictions difficult despite the initial advantage covered in #2.
4. This war has the potential to turn into a massive Cluster-Wide War, with shockwaves reverberating throughout all of New Eden. |